World Cup 2026 Blogs

World Cup Update June 28: The Big Bracket, New PADDLIN' Projections Pages, Blog Roundup

the big rebuild

1 hr ago • Michael Caley

World Cup Update June 27: A New Missouri Compromise? Croatia–Ghana, Austria–Algeria, and Pre-Cooked Results

American biscotti

21 hrs ago • Michael Caley

World Cup Update June 26: Germany, USA, Mexico and What Happens When Teams Have "Nothing to Play For"

in which we explore statistical insignificance

Jun 26 • Michael Caley

World Cup Update June 24: A Dark Journey Into The Hidden Costs of England's Draw, FIFA's New Third-Place Combinatorics and Why They Matter

the funny thing is I thought this would be a short newsletter and easy to write

Jun 24 • Michael Caley

World Cup Update June 22: Uruguay 2–2 Cabo Verde and Expected Goals. Plus, Does FIFA Have a Dead Rubbers Problem?

we live our lives by a simple rule at Expecting Goals: publish your negative results

Jun 22 • Michael Caley

World Cup Update June 21: Türkiye's 62-Shot Elimination, New Detailed Paths, and Caley Graphics Returns

exploring the recent history of World Cup futility

Jun 21 • Michael Caley

World Cup Update June 19: Mexico vs England approaches, Africa's Hidden Hot Start and More PADDLIN' Pages

Tell me the odds

Jun 19 • Michael Caley

World Cup Update June 18: England, Colombia, and Explaining Adjusted xG

ey, we're bloggin here

Jun 18 • Michael Caley

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts