The Political Geography of New York City

A Story in 14 or 15 Clusters

7 hrs ago • 

Michael Caley

3

1

How Zohran Mamdani Won, and What the 2025 Election in New York Can Teach Us About the National Political Environment

More than you think, but not in the way you’re thinking.

9 hrs ago • 

Michael Caley

5

2

What Happens When Teams Have "Nothing to Play For"

Using analytics to determine who wants it more

Dec 1 • 

Michael Caley

3

2

October 2025

Team Ratings and Power Rankings for European Soccer

To the continent!

Oct 31 • 

Michael Caley

10

3

Expecting Goals Premier League Team Ratings

A new method for evaluating soccer teams in the major European Leagues, and an opportunity to discover whether I am biased against your favorite team or…

Oct 28 • 

Michael Caley

17

1

3

September 2025

Building Marcel, Part III: Contexts and Confounders

Using positional data and modeling to suggest the next steps forward and what may have been missed in the previous newsletters.

Sep 30 • 

Michael Caley

4

1

August 2025

Building Marcel, Part II: Age Curves

In which we begin to grapple with the final boss of soccer analytics, context adjustments.

Aug 7 • 

Michael Caley

15

2

3

February 2025

Further Thoughts on the Business of Football

Last week I published an essay in the Bloomberg Odd Lots newsletter about financialization and football, co-authored by my podcast co-host Mike Goodman.

Feb 7 • 

Michael Caley

23

6

December 2024

The Crisis at Manchester City in Context

Let's remember some teams

Dec 11, 2024 • 

Michael Caley

13

3

November 2024

Power Rankings: Premier League and More

This is still mostly a soccer analytics newsletter lol

Nov 26, 2024 • 

Michael Caley

15

2

What Happened in the 2024 Election?

Electoral Analytics from Expecting Goals

Nov 21, 2024 • 

Michael Caley

22

7

Premier League Power Rankings

This newsletter can be many things.

Nov 12, 2024 • 

Michael Caley

28

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