What is a point worth? Understanding the early season table and what it means for Arsenal and Manchester City

the table is telling the truth in some specific and important ways

Oct 7 • Michael Caley

5

September 2026

Is this the first American soccer superstar? How 16-year-old Cavan Sullivan earned an USMNT call-up

we have numbers, and they are good

Sep 17 • Michael Caley

15

2

4

Transfer Window Roundup 1: Arsenal, Aston Villa, and why Bruno Guimarães is such a safe bet

explaining the comps system and starting at the beginning of the alphabet

Sep 11 • Michael Caley

6

1

August 2026

The Cost of Europe: Why Manchester United may pay a price for finishing third

a little preseason projection study

Aug 18 • Michael Caley

22

1

The "Bundesliga Tax": Why transfers from outside the Premier League have flopped, and why that does not mean Premier League teams should…

contexts, contexts, contexts

Aug 7 • Michael Caley

17

July 2026

Morgan Rogers: Anatomy of an Overpay

and I really tried to give him credit for the goals!

Jul 30 • Michael Caley

13

2

1

Elliot Anderson's Already-Elite Statistical Profile

why did Manchester City spend all that money?

Jul 28 • Michael Caley

13

1

3

The Sophisticated Prediction Contest: How did PADDLIN' match up with the models and the markets?

spoiler: wicked good

Jul 24 • Michael Caley

20

2

Lionel Messi by the Numbers: Peak and Career Ball Progression Statistics (Messi–Ronaldo Part III)

remembering a whole bunch more guys

Jul 19 • Michael Caley

9

1

2

Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo Part II: Historical Data and Peak/Career Statistics

let's remember some guys

Jul 18 • Michael Caley

14

1

1

World Cup Update July 14: Why Does PADDLIN' Like Spain So Much Anyhow?

a semifinals preview in the nerdiest sense possible

Jul 14 • Michael Caley

13

2

Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo Part I: Statistics and the GOAT Debate

I'm not proud, or tired

Jul 9 • Michael Caley

112

3

21