PADDLIN' Projections Risers and Fallers

How much a team's odds have changed over the World Cup so far.

Navigation

• Main World Cup Projections Page

• World Cup Fixtures and Results (including Projections and xG)

• Projections and xPts for Groups A–F

• Projections and xPts for Groups G–L

• Even More Projections (Path Difficulty and Knockout Thresholds)

• PADDLIN’ Team Ratings

• Introducing PADDLIN’: Newsletter on Modeling and Methodology from Expecting Goals

• How to Build a World Cup Projection Model: Double Pivot Podcast (YouTube), Three-Part Series on PADDLIN’

Risers and Fallers

The teams which have most increased or most damaged their chances of winning their group or reaching the knockouts from their play and results so far.

Here are the teams whose odds of winning it all have increased or decreased the most.

Here are the teams that have seen the greatest change in their chance of reaching the semi-finals.

Finally, these are the Round of 16 Risers and Fallers, as featured on the main projections page.

Navigation

• Main World Cup Projections Page

• World Cup Fixtures and Results (including Projections and xG)

• Projections and xPts for Groups A–F

• Projections and xPts for Groups G–L

• Even More Projections (Path Difficulty and Knockout Thresholds)

• PADDLIN’ Team Ratings

• Introducing PADDLIN’: Newsletter on Modeling and Methodology from Expecting Goals

• How to Build a World Cup Projection Model: Double Pivot Podcast (YouTube), Three-Part Series on PADDLIN’