How They Win the World Cup: Teams H–Z
I'm telling you there's a chance.
Navigation
World Cup Fixtures and Results (including Projections and xG)
Detailed Knockout Paths, Path Difficulty, and Likely Matches by Venue
World Cup Risers and Fallers: Who Has Improved Their Odds the Most?
Introducing PADDLIN’: Newsletter on Modeling and Methodology from Expecting Goals
How They Win the World Cup
For each team, their projected odds of reaching each round, which opponents they would be likely to face, their odds of beating those opponents, and how their chances of winning the World Cup would change depending on which opponents they draw.